1. Listen for Weak Signals
"Be open to evidence that suggests that your view of the world is wrong," advises Baker. In the seven kingdoms of Westeros, the powers-that-be tend to dismiss the dangers gathering around them, such as the mysterious and vicious White Walkers to the north, and the fire-breathing dragons that are growing across the seas. In the next book -- which Martin is reading now -- one can only assume that these adversaries will come back to haunt those in power.
2. Make Dispassionate Decisions
As behavioral economists always tell us, mixing emotion and investing is a bad idea. So it is in Westeros. When the Stark family goes to war with the Lannisters, Robb Stark falls in love and breaks his previous engagement to the daughter of a powerful ally. "Meanwhile, his rival, Tywin Lannister, makes very few emotional decisions," says Baker. Guess who comes out ahead? Stark falls after being stabbed in the heart. "He makes an emotional decision; that is the reason he dies," Baker says.
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